THE PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE, USA
An Online Journal of Political Commentary & Analysis
Volume XIII, Issue # 279, November 30, 2011
Dr. Almon Leroy Way, Jr., Editor
Government Committed to & Acting in Accord with Conservative Principles
Ensures a Nation's Strength, Progress, & Prosperity
PAPER MONEY, REAL DEBT, & SPENDTHRIFT NATIONS
By Alan Caruba
GOVERNMENT FINANCE: U.S. FISCAL & MONETARY POLICY & ITS CONSEQUENCES -- THE U.S. NATIONAL DEBT EXCEEDS THE NATION'S ANNUAL CAPACITY
TO GENERATE INCOME, THAT IS, THE FEDERAL DEBT IS LARGER THAN THE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP). CURRENTLY, THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM IS
FOLLOWING A POLICY OF QUANTITATIVE EASING, PRINTING VAST QUANTITIES OF DOLLARS & THEREBY DEVALUING THE U.S. CURRENCY -- U.S. DEBT LEVELS
HAVE BEEN DRIVEN TO HISTORIC HIGHS. WHAT THE U.S.A. NEEDS TO SOLVE ITS FINANCIAL & ECONOMIC PROBLEMS ARE STEADY ECONOMIC GROWTH &
CREATION OF JOBS, ACCOMPLISHED BY PRIVATE ENTERPRISE & FACILITATED BY A FAVORABLE BUSINESS CLIMATE PROVIDED BY GOVERNMENT. THE U.S.
GOVERNMENT'S IMPOSITION OF HIGH TAXES DOES NOT PROVIDE A GOOD ENVIRONMENT FOR AMERICA'S BUSINESS & INDUSTRIAL COMMUNITY TO INVEST &
EXPAND. MOREOVER, A VAST MATRIX OF GOVERNMENT RULES & REGULATIONS MAKES DOING BUSINESS IN THE U.S.A. EXPENSIVE, DIFFICULT, & OFTEN
UNCOMPETITIVE. THE INTERCONNECTIVENESS OF AMERICAN & EUROPEAN BANKS. AMERICA'S PROBLEMS & THE FUTURE OF THE EUROPEAN UNION & ITS
CURRENCY, THE EURO.
FULL STORY:
As the citizens of the United States of America and the seventeen member-states of the European Union look on, a great drama regarding the future of the EU
and its currency, the Euro, is occurring.
The essential problem is that both the U.S. dollar and the Euro are just so much paper, despite the promises and guarantees that they will be honored as real
money. The trick has been to keep everyone believing there are sufficient real assets to back up those promises.
Since the U.S. dollar is a kind of universal currency to which other nations peg the value of their currencies, the problem for everyone is that the U.S.A. is broke.
Its national debt exceeds its annual capacity to generate income, otherwise known as its Gross Domestic Product. Every hour of every day, it must borrow
billions to meet its obligations. Forty cents of every dollar the U.S. national government spends is borrowed.
There is a reason why television these days is filled with commercials offering to sell gold. Gold has always retained its value, though it does fluctuate. The U.S.
Treasury’s gold hoard has a value of more than $400 billion these days, but that value is the flip side of the Federal Reserve’s demolition of the dollar, which
has lost 95% of its value since 1913, the same year the Federal Reserve System -- our central bank -- was created.
Recently, the Federal Reserve System has been printing vast quantities of dollars — quantitative easing — that only serves to devalue the U.S currency. The
dollar is backed by the “full faith and credit” of the United States, but, for the first time in our history, our credit rating has been downgraded by agencies such
as Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s.
Not that the rating agencies haven’t also been part of the problem. They are famous for telling everyone that the bundled mortgage assets of Freddie Mac and
Fannie Mae were okay right up to the day the 2008 financial crisis occurred and Lehman Brothers collapsed.
When the 2008 financial crisis hit, the American taxpayer was tapped to bail out a number of banks, a huge insurance company, and even General Motors. This
was followed by “stimulus” spending, all of which drove U.S. debt levels to historic highs. The vast matrix of Federal Reserve Banks, government agencies
charged with oversight of financial institutions, and the ratings agencies all contributed to the crisis.
The U.S.A. went off the gold standard in 1931, in effect exporting deflation around the world. Other nations followed suit. At the time, Americans were
experiencing high debt burdens, unemployment, and money hoarding. If that also sounds like 2011, you’re right.
The crisis of 2008 was brought about by the “bundling” of mortgage assets. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, two Depression-era social justice inventions,
currently own 50% of mortgages, many of which were the result of pressures on banks to make loans to people who clearly could not pay them back. What the
banks considered “assets” were phantoms whose collateral could often not be traced.
Little noted is the role of the Federal Reserve System. A government investigation into the causes of the 2008 financial crisis concluded:
“The prime example is the Federal Reserve’s pivotal failure to stem
the flow of toxic mortgages, which it could have done by setting
prudent mortgage-lending standards. The Federal Reserve was the
one entity empowered to do so, and it did not….”
What the Fed had done, in fact, was to lower the interest rate it charged for lending to banks to very nearly zero.
In his book, Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, author James Rickards explains what is actually occurring.
“The United States now has a system in which the Treasury runs
non-sustainable deficits and sells bonds to keep from going broke.
The Fed prints money to buy those bonds and incurs losses by
owning them. Then the Treasury takes IOUs back from the Fed to
keep the Fed from going broke.”
We’ve been here before in two previous currency wars, the latter of which led to World War II. The problem then and now is the need for job creation,
something that can only be achieved by private enterprise.
The United States government has not provided a good environment for its business and industrial community to invest and expand. It has, as just one example,
very nearly the highest corporate tax in the world; beyond that, a vast matrix of regulations makes doing business in America expensive, difficult, and often
uncompetitive.
How this will all play out depends, in large part, on whether Americans are prepared to reduce the size of a government that grew precipitously in the 1930s and
the second half of the last century. We must begin to slowly and fairly phase out the “entitlement” programs.
The great question facing Europe is whether the EU disbands and its members return to individual national sovereignty in a response to a continent-wide
economic disruption caused by unsustainable debt in its southern tier nations. The EU was a response to a history that generated two major wars in the last
century, bankrupting the continent morally, socially, and economically. The road back has been, in part, due to U.S. aid and protection against the former Soviet
threat.
While the possibility of abandoning the Euro was unthinkable bare months ago, it is now an option; a very difficult option because of the vast
interconnectiveness of Europe’s and our own banks.
In America, the only real hope we have is that in November, 2012, we will elect men and women who will turn the ship of state around before the latest currency
war sinks ours and the world’s economies.
© Alan Caruba, 2011
LINKS TO RELATED TOPICS:
Fiscal Policy: Taxation & Government Spending
Political Economy -- Philosophies, Systems, & Public Policies:
Government, the Economy, & Economic Prosperity
Alan Caruba's commentaries are posted daily at Warning Signs, his popular blog -- and thereafter on dozens of other
websites and blogs. His monthly report on new books is posted at Bookviews.
A business and science writer, Caruba is the Founder of The National Anxiety Center, a clearinghouse for information
about "scare campaigns" designed to influence public opinion and policy.
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THE PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE, USA
An Online Journal of Political Commentary & Analysis
Dr. Almon Leroy Way, Jr., Editor
Conservative & Free-Market Analysis of Government, Politics & Public Policy, Covering Political, Legal, Constitutional, Economic,
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Conservative Government Ensures a Nation's Strength, Progress, & Prosperity