THE PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE, USA
An Online Journal of Political Commentary & Analysis
Volume IX, Issue # 128, July 6, 2007
Dr. Almon Leroy Way, Jr., Editor
Government Committed to & Acting in Accord with Conservative Principles
Ensures a Nation's Strength, Progress, & Prosperity
CANADIAN CLIMATOLOGIST SAYS SUN
CAUSING GLOBAL WARMING
By Dennis T. Avery
TRUE CLIMATE SCIENCE VERSUS THE GLOBAL WARMING THEORY OF POLITICAL ENVIRONMENTALISTS: MORE &
MORE CLIMATOLOGISTS HOLD THAT THE EARTH'S CLIMATE CHANGES ARE CAUSED BY NATURAL PHENOMENA, RATHER
THAN BY GREENHOUSE GASES PRODUCED BY HUMAN ACTIVITY -- CANADIAN CLIMATOLOGIST TIM PATTERSON SAYS
THAT THE EARTH'S CLIMATE CHANGES ARE DRIVEN BY VARIATIONS IN THE SUN'S IRRADIANCE & IN THE AMOUNT OF
GALACTIC COSMIC RAYS FROM DEEP SPACE ENTERING OUR SOLAR SYSTEM
FULL STORY:
Another scientist has added his voice to the global warming debate. Canadian climatologist Tim Patterson says the sun
drives the earth’s climate changes, and the earth’s current global warming is a direct result of a long, moderate 1,500-year
cycle in the sun’s irradiance.
Patterson says he learned of the 1,500-year climate cycle while studying cycles in fish numbers on Canada’s West Coast.
Since the Canadian West had no longterm written fishery records, Patterson’s research team drilled sediment cores in the
deep local fjords to get 5,000-year climate profiles from the mud. The mud showed the past climate conditions: Warm
summers left layers thick with one-celled fossils and fish scales. Cold, wet periods showed dark sediments, mostly dirt
washed from the surrounding land.
Patterson’s fishing profiles clearly revealed the sun’s 87-year and 210-year solar cycles — and the longer, 1500-year
Dansgaard-Oeschger cycles found since the 1980s in ice cores, tree rings, and fossil pollen.
“Our finding of a direct correlation between variations in the brightness of the sun and earthly climate indicators is
not unique,” says the climatologist from Carleton University.
“Hundreds of other studies, using proxies from tree rings
in Russia’s Kola Peninsula to water levels of the Nile, show
exactly the same thing: The sun appears to drive climate
change.”
But there was a problem. By themselves, the variations in solar irradiation were too small to account for the big
variations his research team found in the Canadian fish catches.
Patterson states:
“Even though the sun is brighter now than at any time in the
past 8,000 years, the increase in direct solar input is not
calculated to be sufficient to cause the past century’s modest
warming on its own. There had to be an amplifier of some
sort for the sun to be a primary driver of climate changes.
Indeed, that is precisely what has been discovered.”
“In a series of groundbreaking scientific papers starting in
2000, Vizer, Shaviv, Carslaw and most recently Svensmark et al.,
have collectively demonstrated that as the output of the sun
varies . . . varying amounts of galactic cosmic rays from deep
space are able to enter our solar system. . . . These cosmic rays
enhance cloud formation, which, overall, has a cooling effect
on the planet.”
“When the sun is less bright, more cosmic rays are able to get
through to Earth’s atmosphere, more clouds form and the
planet cools. . . . This is precisely what happened from the
middle of the 17th century into the early 18th century, when
the solar energy input to our atmosphere . . . was at a minimum
and the planet was stuck in the Little Ice Age.”
The Canadian expert concludes, “CO2 variations show little correlation with our planet’s climate on long, medium,and even
short time scales.” Instead, Earth’s sea surface temperatures show a massive 95 percent lagged correlation with the
sunspot index.
Patterson says climate change is the most complex field we’ve ever studied. He notes that a 2003 German poll of 530
scientists from 27 countries found two-thirds of the respondents doubted that “the current state of scientific knowledge is
developed well enough to allow for a reasonable assessment of the effects of greenhouse gases.”
Attempting to stop global warming with the Kyoto Protocol, he warns, could be as useless as King Canute commanding
the tides to cease.
LINKS TO RELATED TOPICS:
Political Environmentalism Versus Human Progress & Prosperity:
Policy Issues Relating to Energy, Environment,
& Natural Resources
Dennis T. Avery is a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute in Washington, D.C., and is the Director of the Institute's Center for
Global Food Issues (www.cgfi.org). Formerly he was a senior analyst for the United States
Department of State. He is the co-author, with atmospheric physicist Fred Singer, of the book, Unstoppable Global Warming:
Every 1500 Years (Blue Ridge Summit, Pennsylvania: Rowman & Littlefield, 2006). Readers may write Avery at Post Office
Box 202, Churchville, Virginia, 24421. Email: cgfi@rica.net
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THE PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE, USA
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Dr. Almon Leroy Way, Jr., Editor
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