DIMINISHING THE NOBEL PEACE PRIZE
By Dennis T. Avery
In 1971, Willi Brandt won the Peace Prize for leading Germany’s peaceful reintegration back into the “world family of nations,” healing the destruction caused by Kaiser Wilhelm and Adolf Hitler with two World Wars that resulted in at least 70 million deaths.
In 1970, it went to my friend Norman Borlaug, the Green Revolution plant-breeder who: (1) saved 1 billion people from almost immediate starvation, (2) prevented the plowdown of 16 million square miles of wildlands for more low-yield crops; and (3) just incidentally laid the foundation for the material abundance now spreading around the planet.
Now fast forward to look at recent Peace Prize winners:
In 2001, the UN’s Kofi Annan. Did he end the genocide in Darfur? Stop the war in Kosovo? How about the billion-dollar UN corruption of Saddam Hussein’s “oil for food” program, assisted informally by his son?
Now we get Al Gore, a ho-hum U.S. politician catapulted to rock-star status by a moderate and natural global warming cycle, which has been hysterically inflated by the Green movement, willing media collaborators, and massive government funding for unproven computerized climate “models.” (Note: Mr. Gore’s movie has just been found guilty in a British court of 11 serious untruths and/or unsubstantiated claims.)
Mt. Kilimanjaro’s melting glacier is proof of man-made warming. In fact, the melting is due largely to local deforestation.
The Antarctic ice is melting. Most studies say it’s stable or adding ice.
Hurricane Katrina was caused by global warming. Historic records show far more major, landfalling Caribbean hurricanes per decade from 1700-1850, during the Little Ice Age, than now.
Global warming could stop the Gulf Stream, and cause an Ice Age in Europe. Recent studies offer no support to help Mr. Gore on this one.
Global warming is causing species extinctions and coral reef bleaching. In fact, not one species has gone extinct due to warming. Coral reefs adjust to new temperatures — by bleaching.
A study shows polar bears drowning due to vanishing ice. In fact, four polar bears drowned in a bad storm.
Greenland’s ice could melt suddenly, causing a dangerous rise in sea levels. In fact, it will take thousands of warming years to melt Greenland’s ice cap.
Global warming is drying up Africa’s Lake Chad. The UK government agrees this is not true.
Rising seas have forced people to flee Pacific islands to New Zealand. There is no record of any evacuation triggered by sea level rise.
Gore’s scary graphics show cities drowning in a 7-meter sea level rise, creating millions of refugees. In fact, the 20th. Century increase was 6 inches and we’ve seen no acceleration. Even the UN climate change panel doesn’t agree with Mr. Gore’s scenario.
Just one last question for our new Nobel Peace laureate: Why did most of our moderate modern warming take place before 1940 (with 1934 being the warmest year) and why haven’t we had any warming over the last nine years? Could it possibly be the moderate, natural 1,500-year warming cycle revealed in the ice cores and seabed sediments is approaching the point at which the cycle will soon come to an end?
The Earth's Natural History, Global Climate Changes,
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Dennis T. Avery is a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute in Washington, D.C., and is the Director of the Institute's Center for
Global Food Issues (www.cgfi.org). Formerly he was a senior policy analyst for the United
States Department of State, where he won the National Intelligence Medal of Achievement. He is the co-author, with
atmospheric physicist Fred Singer, of the book, Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1500 Years (Blue Ridge Summit,
Pennsylvania: Rowman & Littlefield, 2006). Readers may write Avery at Post Office Box 202, Churchville, Virginia, 24421. Email:
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