CHINA SENDS GLOBAL WARMING RANSOM NOTE
By Dennis T. Avery
Bad timing: The U.S.A. and Europe are trying to bail their financial systems out of Barney Frank’s Fanny Mae/Freddy Mac sub-prime mortgage adventure.
Gua Guangsheng, head of China’s Climate Change Office, said on October 28, 2008:
China, India, Brazil, and Mexico had already demanded — in July, 2008 — that the developed countries cut their own emissions by 80 to 95 percent by 2050. Very unlikely. The European Union has loudly boasted of trying to set an 80-percent cut in its emissions, but that now looks impossible. Italy, Poland, Hungary, and Greece are part of a “blocking force” saying they cannot afford to give up coal and oil during a financial crisis, especially when the only alternative is imported Russian natural gas.
Russia recently “invaded” Gruzia (Georgia), many think, to stop Gruzian efforts to build a natural gas pipeline that would have competed with Russia’s.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who helped create the Kyoto Protocol, now says that drastic cuts in carbon dioxide emissions are “ill-advised climate policy.” She’s building 26 brown-coal power plants instead, and re-thinking the German promise to scuttle its nuclear power plants.
Don’t spend much of your “worry time” on a new climate treaty, however. Global temperatures are doing their best to tell us that CO2 isn’t very important after all.
Global thermometers stubbornly refused to rise after 1998, and have plummeted in the past two years by more than 0.5 degrees Celsius. The world is now colder than in 1940, when the Post-World War II Industrial Revolution started spewing lots of man-made CO2 in the first place.
On October 29, 2008, the U.S.A. beat or tied 115 low-temperature records for the date. Alaska, which was unusually warm last year, recorded 25 degrees below zero Fahrenheit that night, beating the previous low by 4 degrees Fahrenheit.
London had snow in October for the first time in more than 70 years.
The 2007-2008 temperature drop wasn’t predicted by the global climate models, but it had been predicted by the sunspots since 2000. Both the absent sunspots and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation now predict a 25 to 30-year global cooling. After that, the remaining enthusiasm for global warming agreements will presumably have vanished, without any big payoff to the Chinese government.
Meanwhile, India is about to rescue our Appalachian coal industry. India is already importing 50 million tons of coal per year, and sees our high-sulfur Eastern U.S.A. coal as an under-priced energy resource. While New York and Philadelphia import low-sulfur coal from Wyoming’s Powder River Basin, India wants to buy not just Appalachia’s coal, but the mines that produce it. They note, “It’s a buyer’s market.”
Dennis T. Avery is a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute in Washington, D.C., and is the Director of the Institute's Center for
Global Food Issues (www.cgfi.org). Formerly he was a senior policy analyst for the United
States Department of State, where he won the National Intelligence Medal of Achievement. He is the co-author, with
atmospheric physicist Fred Singer, of the book, Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1500 Years (Blue Ridge Summit,
Pennsylvania: Rowman & Littlefield, 2006). Avery's book, Saving the Planet With Pesticides and Plastic: The Environmental
Triumph of High-Yield Farming (Washington, D.C.: Hudson Institute, 1995), continues to be popular as a readable overview
of realistic agriculture for the future and for today. Readers may write Avery at Post Office Box 202, Churchville, Virginia, 24421.
Email: cgfi@hughes.net
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