COPENHAGEN DASHES THIRD WORLD EXPECTATIONS
By Dennis T. Avery
We’d promised them billions of unearned dollars in guilt payments for something called “global warming.” They don’t pay that much attention to thermometers, and weather is something they mostly live with, rather than forecast.
But we, ourselves, had warned them their islands were about to sink beneath the waves. It hasn’t happened yet, but the
computer models say it will be so.
We told them that wild species like the polar bear would go extinct — if not yet, then sometime soon.
“The heaviest burden of global warming will fall on the poorest countries,” said the best and brightest of our thinkers and
climate modelers. “We must pay billions to the third world to finance greener energy systems so they won’t burn coal or
kerosene.”
Then, at Copenhagen — the “last chance” for humans to save the world — we decided not to save it. Can we blame the
Third World for being angry and mystified?
Villagers on the South Pacific island of Tanna still worship a ghostly American named John Frum, who was stationed there
during World War II. Every February 15th , the islanders stage a ceremony, complete with GI “uniforms,” bamboo rifles,
and an American flag. “John promised he’ll bring planeloads and shiploads of cargo to us from America, if we pray to him,”
a village elder told writer Paul Raffaele of Smithsonian Magazine in 2008.
Such “cargo cults” were common when primitive peoples were visited by sailors who had compasses and chronometers,
and later radios and TVs. Third World peoples mostly still haven’t seen our shipyards, railroads, and nitrogen fertilizer, so
they don’t understand what supports our abundance.
They don’t know how we learned that global warming was coming, and they haven’t seen any evidence that it will. But we
said we’d make them rich, and since we decided not to, they’re unhappy.
The Chinese, of course, are different. They’ve got 4,000 years of court records, detailing how Chinese crops and wild
animals shifted north with the repeated global wamings during the Bronze Age, the Roman Empire and the Medieval period
— and then shifted back south during the intervening cold periods. Chinese researchers have studied their own ice cores
and fossil pollen. They can’t have much respect for the Western computer models, which repeatedly forecast the runaway
warming that hasn’t appeared. Their own thermometers have detailed the non-warming since 1998 — but they’d take our
carbon subsidies.
In the wake of Copenhagen’s collapse, my wife was asked, “With so many poor people in the world, shouldn’t we share our
abundance — global warming or not?” That’s been the hidden agenda of the Hard Left through the whole global warming
campaign: “spreading the wealth.”
My wife, however, had spent 15 years living in four African countries. She replied she’d never vote to give American money
to Africa’s tribal thugs. It would simply disappear, as have so many billions in government handouts, enriching Swiss bank
accounts not creating sustainable prosperity for the people.
“They aren’t poor because we’re rich,” she says correctly. “Nor are we rich because they’re poor.” In the Pacific Northwest,
early Indian tribes had a culture based on “potlatch.” Whenever anyone had good fortune, they threw a party for the tribe.
The wealth was spread, but no one was better off after the party than before.
Dennis T. Avery is a senior fellow for the Hudson Institute in Washington, D.C. He is an environmental economist and was
formerly a senior analyst for the Department of State. He is co-author, with S. Fred Singer, of Unstoppable Global
Warming Every 1500 Hundred Years. Readers may write him at PO Box 202, Churchville, Virgonoa, 24421, or email to
cgfi@hughes.net
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