THE PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE, USA
An Online Journal of Political Commentary & Analysis
Volume XII, Issue # 27, February 7, 2010
Dr. Almon Leroy Way, Jr., Editor
Government Committed to & Acting in Accord with Conservative Principles
Ensures a Nation's Strength, Progress, & Prosperity
INDIA SETS UP INDEPENDENT GLOBAL WARMING PANEL
By Dennis T. Avery
WHY INDIA IS ESTABLISHING ITS OWN RESEARCH UNIT TO INVESTIGATE GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE: WHY INDIA
NO LONGER TRUSTS THE GLOBAL WARMING CLAIMS OF THE UNITED NATIONS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE
CHANGE -- WHAT INDIA STANDS TO LOSE, SHOUD IT CONTINUE TO ADHERE TO & ACT IN ACCORD WITH THE
PSEUDO-SCIENCE & MAN-MADE GLOBAL-WARMING DOGMA OF THE IPCC
FULL STORY:
India is setting up its own climate research unit, because it no longer trusts the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change. I’ve been predicting such a move for years — partly due to the IPCC’s biased science, but more because India
simply cannot afford to curtail its desperately needed and energy-powered economic growth. India’s governmental stability
depends on expanding prosperity for the all of its people. That means more energy, and over half of India’s electricity
comes from coal.
Carried to its extreme, the global warming scare would pressure India to give up the nitrogen fertilizer that feeds nearly half
its population — and even slaughter its 200 million sacred cows, which daily produce huge amounts of the greenhouse gas
methane. Either would cause widespread rioting.
The global warming alarmists have predicted awful things for India unless fossil fuels are curbed, including submergence of
its coastal lands, lack of water for irrigation, increased cyclone activity, and forced shifts in rice production that would
threaten hunger for millions.
I predict the new Indian research unit will find that the IPCC’s data and conclusions have been deliberately and massively
misleading and the scares wildly overstated, while actual temperature changes have been small and non-threatening. We
recently finished the third sharp increase in global temperature since 1850, including one from 1860–1880, and another from
1910–1914. All ended in coolings, not runaway warmings.
Other emerging countries have been willing to let the Western societies sacrifice themselves to the IPCC’s man-made
global warming dogma — and even hoped for some of those big “carbon guilt payments” the West has talked about. But it’s
clear now that the West won’t be making big carbon payments to the Third World.
The breaking point for India came when the IPCC’s 2007 report announced that India’s Himalayan glaciers were melting faster
than the world’s other glaciers, and might be completely gone by 2035 — or sooner. Worse, the report claimed that the billions
of people who depend on Himalayan snowmelt would no longer get adequate drinking and irrigation water from the Indus and
Ganges Rivers. That could have triggered a major refugee problem for neighboring countries, or beyond.
India didn’t believe it, and assigned their top glaciologist, V.K. Raina, to assemble a new assessment from satellite data and
laborious on-site measurements. Environment Minister Jairam Ramesh announced a few weeks ago that Raina and his teams
had found the IPCC was wrong. “There is no conclusive scientific evidence to link global warming with what is happening in
the Himalayan glaciers,” which Ramesh pointed out are at much higher altitudes than most of the world’s other glaciers. He
added that, though some glaciers are receding, they were doing so at a rate “not historically alarming.” He further noted that
India’s rivers actually depend primarily on the monsoons. .
In a remarkable finding, the Raina report claims the Ganotri glacier, the main source of the River Ganges, actually receded
faster before 1978, and is, today, “practically at a standstill.” Newspapers warned that the Siachin glacier in Kashmir had
shrunk as much as 50 percent — but Raina reports that those claims are simply wrong, that the big glacier has “not shown
any remarkable retreat in the last 50 years.”
The IPCC Chairman, India-born Rajendra Pachauri, dismissed the Indian response as “voodoo science,” But the flimsy basis
for the IPCC claim has now been revealed, and the IPCC has had to issue an apology. Since then, additional IPCC claims have
been found to lack scientific support.
My prediction: The Indian science panel will hasten the end for the IPCC’s once-dominant view of man-made global climate
change.
LINKS TO RELATED TOPICS:
Political Environmentalism Versus Human Progress & Prosperity:
Policy Issues Relating to Energy, Environment,
& Natural Resources
The Earth's Natural History, Global Climate Changes,
& the Future of Human Life & Civilization on the Planet:
Science, Ideology, & Public Policy
Political Economy -- Philosophies, Systems, & Public Policies:
Government, the Economy, & Economic Prosperity
Dennis T. Avery is a senior fellow for the Hudson Institute in Washington, D.C. He is an environmental economist and was
formerly a senior analyst for the U.S. Department of State. He is co-author, with S. Fred Singer, of Unstoppable Global
Warming Every 1500 Hundred Years.
Readers may write Avery at PO Box 202, Churchville, Virginia, 24421 -- or email to the following: cgfi@hughes.net
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Dr. Almon Leroy Way, Jr., Editor
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