THE PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE, USA
An Online Journal of Political Commentary & Analysis
Volume XIII, Issue # 274, November 20, 2011
Dr. Almon Leroy Way, Jr., Editor
Government Committed to & Acting in Accord with Conservative Principles
Ensures a Nation's Strength, Progress, & Prosperity
UN IPCC TRAPPED IN CLIMATE TURMOIL
By Dennis T. Avery
THE ENVIRONMENTALISTS' THEORY OF HUMAN-INDUCED GLOBAL WARMING & WHAT THE EVIDENCE INDICATES: THE EARTH'S LACK OF WARMING
SINCE 1998 EXPLODES THE THEORY, DESTROYS THE CREDIBILITY OF ITS ADVOCATES, & SERIOUSLY UNDERMINES JUSTIFICATION OF THE FIRST-WORLD
GOVERNMENTS' POLICY AGENDA FOR "GREEN" ENERGY SUBSIDIES & HIGH ENERGY TAXES. EXPECT MODERATE GLOBAL COOLING FOR THE NEXT THREE DECADES,
DUE TO A QUIET PERIOD ON THE SUN, & A CONSEQUENT COOLING OF THE PACIFIC OCEAN'S HUGE HEAT MASS.
FULL STORY:
The environmentalists and man-made global warming activists at the United Nations are trapped in turmoil over how to deal
with the earth’s lack of warming since 1998. A week or so ago, the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
circulated a draft statement that would have admitted we are unlikely to have any further earth-warming for the next 30 years
“because climate change signals are expected to be relatively small, compared to natural climate variability.”
The BBC’s environmental reporter Richard Black reported that he had received a copy of that draft. Black said he expected
member governments to reject the statement, however, because it would embarrass the First-World governments’ Green
energy subsidies and taxes agenda. It would also have finally killed the world’s climate-terror campaign.
In fact, NASA and the U.S. Solar Observatory had already told us months ago to expect moderate global cooling for the next
three decades, due to a quiet period on the sun, and a consequent cooling of the Pacific Ocean’s huge heat mass.
Searching for a way out of the non-warming trap, one of the IPCC’s lead science authors announced that the climate
computers had always correctly predicted non-warming lulls like ours. (We just missed that clause in the UN’s earlier press
releases about the soon-to-be parboiled planet.)
“Looking at a single, noisy 10-year period is cherry picking, and does not provide reliable information about the presence or
absence of human effects on climate,” wrote Ben Santer, in the November 17, 2011, Journal of Geophysical Research
(Atmospheres) online. Santer said that “tropospheric temperature records must be at least 17 years long to discriminate
between internal climate noise and the signal of human caused changes.”
What’s magic about 17 years instead of 15? From their point of view, it would give the alarmists at least two more years of
“grace” before they had to admit the giant computer models are a total failure. That might be enough time to re-elect Obama.
But wait. Horses were about to be changed once more. The next day, November 18, the IPCC decided not to admit we will
have no global warming for the next 30 years. Instead, they announced that the real danger to humanity was not warming at
all, but “extreme weather.”
The UN IPCC and its compliant followers will apparently rely on the mainstream media to keep headlining every small
weather “disaster” in the world — and there are always lots of those. They will somehow all be blamed on too much CO2.
Thus, Green taxes and subsidies can go forward as planned. It seems not to matter that there’s even less evidence for an
“extreme weather” scare than for the “longterm global warming disaster” that lasted just 22 years and caused no harm.
When I think of “extreme weather,” I think of the century-long drought that desiccated the entire western two-thirds of
America for virtually the whole period between 1200 and 1300 AD. That extreme drought starved the Anasazi Amerindian
culture out of the San Juan Basin of the Colorado River. Simultaneously, it collapsed the only city Amerindians ever built —
at Cahokia, just east of today’s St. Louis, Missouri. Cahokia had perhaps 40,000 people, about double the population of
London at that time — until the drought destroyed their corn crops.
Folks, that was extreme weather.
LINKS TO RELATED TOPICS:
Political Environmentalism Versus Human Progress & Prosperity:
Policy Issues Relating to Energy, Environment,
& Natural Resources
The Earth's Natural History, Global Climate Changes,
& the Future of Human Life & Civilization on the Planet:
Science, Ideology, & Public Policy
Dennis T. Avery, a senior fellow for the Hudson Institute in Washington, D.C., is an environmental economist. He was
formerly a senior analyst for the U.S. Department of State. He is co-author, with S. Fred Singer, of Unstoppable Global
Warming Every 1500 Years. Readers may write to him at P.O. Box 202, Churchville, Virginia, 2442; email to
cgfi@hughes.net; or visit us at www.cgfi.org
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THE PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE, USA
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Dr. Almon Leroy Way, Jr., Editor
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