THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES IS FLUNKING
AS THE REFEREE IN THE GLOBAL WARMING DEBATE
By Dennis T. Avery
Nevertheless, the studies' findings were widely publicized and touted by the Clinton administration and the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, publicized and touted as “proof” of man-made global warming. And now, the National Academy of Sciences has announced that it is “plausible” that today’s temperatures are the warmest in 1100 years, as Mann claimed.
Really?
While Britain came out of the Little Ice Age, the country today is essentially still too cold to grow wine grapes successfully. However, in 1068 AD, during the Medieval Warming Period, Britain’s tax officials reported in the Domesday Book that nearly 50 British vineyards were growing wine grapes. Moreover, German wine grapes are not grown as high on the hillsides today as they were in the Medieval Warming Period. Wine grape vines are one of humanity’s most accurate and sensitive indications of temperature in the pre-thermometer era.
More importantly, the Romans also reported growing wine grapes in Britain when they occupied that country in the 1st. Century AD. Thus, we know that both the 1st and 11th Centuries were warmer than today. Mann was wrong about the 20th. Century having “unprecedented warming.”
The bigger scientific sin of both Mann and the National Academy of Sciences is trying to hide the natural, moderate 1500-year climate cycle.
The top science journals since 1984 have widely reported on the 1500-year cycle, which was first discovered in the long Greenland and Antarctic ice cores in the 1980s. Since then, the 1500-year cycle has also been found in the seabed sediments of five oceans, in glacier advances and retreats worldwide, in ancient tree rings, and in historic documents from both Europe and Asia. It goes back at least a million years.
The 1500-year climate cycle has no correlation with carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. It has had a strong correlation with the length of the sunspot cycles on the sun.
CO2 may be adding to the Modern Warming Period, but its impact is apparently not large. Remember that our warming started 90 years before the year 1940, when human CO2 emissions began to surge. When human CO2 emissions did surge after 1940, global temperatures went down for 35 years! The Greenhouse Theory says the Polar Regions will warm first, but they aren’t doing it. The Antarctic has been cooling since the 1960s, except for the tiny Antarctic Peninsula. The Arctic was warmer in the 1930s than it is today.
Is the National Academy of Science fearful that, if the public understood the natural climate cycle, the science community would lose the billions of dollars the government now spends on the CO2 climate scare?
The National Academy has a massive conflict of interest that is truly disturbing.
Dennis T. Avery is a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute in Washington, D.C., and is the Director of the Institute's Center for
Global Food Issues (www.cgfi.org). Formerly he was a senior analyst for the United States
Department of State. Readers may write him at Post Office Box 202, Churchville, VA 24421. Email: cgfi@rica.net
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