THE PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE, USA

An Online Journal of Political Commentary & Analysis
Volume IV, Issue # 139, November 19, 2002
Dr. Almon Leroy Way, Jr., Editor
Government Committed to & Acting in Accord with Conservative Principles
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THE WEST SPURNS THE UKRAINIAN PRESIDENT:
A NEWSMAX.COM ANALYSIS
By Colonel Stanislac Lunev

NEWSMAX.COM - In late October, Ukraine's foreign minister accused the North Atlantic Treaty Organization of "manipulation" for declining to invite Ukraine President Leonid Kuchma to a long-awaited summit, following allegations that he approved the sale of a sophisticated radar system to Iraq. NATO said it would go ahead with ministerial-level meetings with Ukraine, but Kuchma himself was not invited.

The NATO-Ukraine meeting will be held at the November 21-22 summit in Prague, where the 19 NATO countries are to invite seven Eastern European nations to become members. The decision not to invite Kuchma reflects the negative European feeling toward the Ukrainian leader, a former Communist official and missile-factory director in the Soviet era, whose administration represses constitutional democratic movements domestically and develops relations with rogue nations internationally.

In 1991, when the Ukrainian people voted overwhelmingly for independence from the collapsing Soviet Union, Western experts predicted that Ukraine, with its industrial might, advanced technologies and rich soil, could easily transform itself into a new European constitutional democracy.

Almost the size of Texas and with more than twice as many people (about 49 million), Ukraine is located between Russia and central Europe and for many centuries has been a crossroads in the turbulent dealings between its powerful neighbors.

Ukraine is now facing its own turning point, one which reflects domestic turmoil and negative feelings among millions of Ukrainians who have been betrayed by their political leaders. The benefits of independence have bypassed millions of ordinary Ukrainians, and there are signs in the country of a drift toward Soviet-style authoritarianism. This trend and actions abroad could make Ukraine more of a peril to the Western world than a reliable partner.

In early September, reports surfaced that Kuchma had approved the sale of a $100 million military radar system to Iraq. The Soviet-designed Kolchuga (Hauberk) radar system tracks aircraft and surface vehicles silently by triangulating radio signals from aircraft.

On September 16, the U.S. government suspended $54 million of the $250 million a year it gives Ukraine in foreign aid after determining the authenticity of a secretly taped recording of Kuchma authorizing the sale in July 2000.

The U.S.A. and Britain have sent specialists to Ukraine to determine whether any sys- tems were actually transferred to Iraq, where they could endanger American and British aircraft patrolling no-fly zones. The result of the special investigation, which met strong resistance from local Ukrainian authorities, has yet to be announced.

Apart from the Iraq sale, Kuchma is also suspected of involvement in the unsolved kill- ing of well known Ukrainian Internet journalist Georgy Gongadze. Tapes released by a presidential security guard earlier this year feature a voice thought to be Kuchma's discussing the killing.

The tape scandal has badly damaged Kuchma's reputation abroad, hindering Ukraine's efforts at closer integration with NATO and the European Union. Domestically, the allegations provoked months of anti-Kuchma demonstrations, and have boosted the clout of opposition leaders whose calls for Kuchma's resignation, or at least a change in the political system, have increasingly resounded among Ukrainians, whose distrust of a government widely seen as corrupt is already deep.

Opposition leaders said the Kuchma administration has responded to the increasingly vocal protests by exercising control over the media to muffle criticism and pulling bureaucratic levers to thwart the electorate's will. In parliamentary elections last March, Kuchma's supporters used their influence with local authorities, state workers and farm, factory and mine directors to manipulate the outcome.

There is no doubt that under Kuchma's leadership, Ukraine is moving further away from constitutional democratic political and free-market economic reforms, and actually returning to its totalitarian past. If the situation is not changed, we can expect serious trouble in Ukraine, which will dramatically destabilize the strategic environment in Eastern Europe.


LINKS TO RELATED TOPICS:
Russia & Other Former Soviet Republics

Europe, Europeans, & American Foreign Policy



Colonel Stanislav Lunev is the highest-ranking Russian or Soviet military intelligence officer ever to defect to the U.S.A. For the greater part of his adult life, Colonel Lunev worked for the Glavnoye Razvedyvatelnoye Upravlenie (GRU), or Main Intelligence Administration--Russia's highly efficient and professional military intelligence agency. From 1988 to 1992, Lunev was a GRU intelligence officer operating out of the GRU's field office in Washington, D.C. In 1992, after Boris Yeltsin came to power in Russia, Lunev defected to the United States government. Since his defection, Lunev has pro- vided important information to the Central Intelligence Agency, the Federal Bureau of Investigation, and other U.S. defense and national security agencies--information con- sidered so crucial that he was placed in the FBI Witness Protection Program, where he remains to this day.

Copyright 2002 NewsMax.Com




Reprinted with Permission of NewsMax.Com
All Rights Reserved by NewsMax.Com




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THE PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE, USA

An Online Journal of Political Commentary & Analysis

Dr. Almon Leroy Way, Jr., Editor

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Conservative Government Ensures a Nation's Strength, Progress, & Prosperity